Estimating the
Variance after a Monotone Regression
Michael B Woodroofe
Statistics, University of Michigan
An asymptotically unbiased estimator of the variance is derived for
monotone regression. The estimator is of the form ,
where is the residual sum of squares, D is a
surrogate for the degrees of freedom, and . The
derivation uses Stein's unbiased estimator of the risk to suggest the
form of the estimator and asymptotic analysis to determine the
constant c. As a corollary, it is shown that the maximum
likelihood estimator attains the optimal rate of convergence, without
imposing any smoothness conditions on the regression function.
Moderate sample size performance of the estimator is assessed through
simulation.
Talk: 11:30 - 12:30pm Tuesday, March 3, at Yost 327.