A Generalized Portmanteau Goodness-of-Fit Test for Time Series Models.

Rohit Deo

Statistics and Operations Research
New York University

Friday, February 9, at 327 Yost
Refreshments: 3:30 - 4:00 p.m, Talk: 4:00 - 5:00 p.m.

We present a goodness of fit test for time series models based on the discrete spectral average estimator. The test statistic is a frequency domain analogue of the test by Hong (1996) which is a generalization of the Box-Pierce (1970) test statistic. Unlike current tests of goodness of fit, the asymptotic distribution of our test statistic allows the null hypothesis to be either a short or long range dependence model. Our test is in the frequency domain, is easy to compute and does not require the calculation of residuals from the fitted model. This is especially advantageous when the fitted model is not a finite order autoregressive model. The finite sample behaviour of the test statistic is investigated. A simulation study shows that our test has power comparable to that of Hong's test and superior to that of another frequency domain test by Milhoj (1981).


Questions? Nidhan Choudhuri